Фоновое движение: рост неотличим от обычных колебаний.
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India is expected to achieve close to 8% economic growth, aided by recent reforms and increased investment. The resilience of the economy is attributed to strategies implemented over the past decade and strong domestic demand. Former RBI governor Shaktikanta Das emphasized the significance of the financial sector and external management in supporting growth. Further opportunities are anticipated in the coming years, particularly in AI and infrastructure financing.
'Can't afford to be complacent, must stay alert'
The Finance Ministry estimates the floods will have an impact of less than 0.1% on the overall economy, maintaining its forecast of 2-2.5% GDP growth for 2026.
Arvind Panagariya, chairman of the 16th Finance Commission, outlines the benefits of a weaker rupee for exports. He stresses that rising import costs can maintain the competitiveness of domestic products. The need for tariff cuts, elimination of quality control orders, and revision of bilateral investment treaties is emphasized. Panagariya also mentions the current economic stability and potential growth of 7-8%. He expresses optimism despite external challenges affecting growth prospects.
India's Finance Commission chairman, Arvind Panagariya, indicated that the nation is well-prepared for potential food or fertiliser issues. He emphasized that India's fertiliser supply has been strengthened through domestic production and imports from various countries. Additionally, the country has managed to cope with energy shocks and uncertainties arising from conflicts in West Asia. Panagariya noted that if Ukraine's exports decline, demand for Indian food products might increase.
During the Kautilya Economic Conclave, Reserve Bank governor Sanjay Malhotra emphasized the critical need for a resilient financial infrastructure. He pointed out the significance of monitoring new vulnerabilities to ensure the system can withstand diverse shocks. Malhotra acknowledged that systemic risks are now more global and interconnected, leading to unique challenges.
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